Four Losers, Then the Flip

Globex session · Monday, November 2, 2026

Net +$732.80 on 10 trades, 2 wins and 8 losses (20%), profit factor 1.40. ES reopened at 7,584, flushed to 7,571.50 and put in its high of 7,591.50 by 6:22 PM; the first four trades lost $1,834.80 against a market that had already topped, and the fifth, a 2-lot NQ short held 36 minutes, made $2,567.60 and the night.

The numbers

Net / gross P&L	+$732.80 / +$770.00 (commissions −$37.20)
Trades	10, all copy-traded in pairs
Win rate	20% (2W – 8L), profit factor 1.40
Avg win / avg loss	+$1,283.80 / −$229.35
Largest win / largest loss	+$1,283.80 (#5 NQ) / −$408.10 (#3 NQ), per account
Time in market	61 min, 6:41 to 7:42 PM ET, average hold 11 min

One Apex pair, copy-traded, so every trade shows up twice in the count and the table below counts them in pairs. Times are Eastern.

Where it came from

Block	Trades	Net
#1–#3 longs, 6:41–6:51 PM	ES, ES, NQ, all stopped	−$1,428.60
#4 NQ short, 6:55–7:04 PM	1 lot, early	−$406.20
#5 NQ short, 7:06–7:42 PM	2 lots, added higher, scaled out	+$2,567.60
ES	2 trades (0W–2L)	−$612.40
NQ	3 trades (1W–2L)	+$1,345.20

What the execution data shows

• #1 bought ES at 7,587.75 at 6:41 PM, as the 6:40 bar came off a retest of the high at 7,590.75. The next bar dropped to 7,583.75 and the stop went at 7,584 four minutes later. −$381.20 on the pair.
• #2 bought the bounce three minutes later at 7,587.50, the high of the 6:48 bar. The next bar fell to 7,585.25 and that was the exit. −$231.20. Two longs in ten minutes into a market making lower highs.
• #3 was the same trade in NQ at the same minute: long 28,230.50 at 6:48 PM on a bounce from 28,214, after NQ had topped at 28,284.50 at 6:22 and printed lower highs since. The 6:50 bar fell 20 points and the stop went at 28,210.25. −$816.20, the biggest loss of the night.
• #4 was the right idea in the wrong spot: short 28,208.75 at 6:55 PM, within six points of the low of a 20-point range. Price sat there nine minutes, then the 7:04 bar ran to 28,220.75 and the cover was 28,218.75. −$406.20.
• #5 put the same short back on at 28,205.50 at 7:06 PM, two minutes after #4 was stopped. NQ dropped 25 points in four minutes, then rallied 30 points against the position to 28,235 by 7:22, and the second lot went on at 28,228.50 near the top of that bounce. Price topped at 28,242.50 at 7:36, then broke: 28,203 at 7:38, 28,162.75 at 7:42, and both lots came off at 28,185 and 28,184.50. Thirty-six minutes, +$2,567.60 on the pair.

Takeaway

The first 23 minutes were a bias problem, not an execution problem: three longs after both markets had put in their highs and were printing lower highs, and the data says each was bought at the top of a two-minute bounce. The flip came with #4, early and at the low of the range. #5 was the same trade with room, and it carried 30 points of heat and an add near the top before the 7:38 break paid for all of it. The add worked again, which makes six adds for and one against this past week, and the one against still cost more than any one of the six made. The night’s lesson is the one in the Final Thoughts below: the money came after watching, not after reacting.

Final Thoughts

The market kicked my ass in the open and I had a hard time flipping my bias tonight. Revenge traded myself back to green only after watching a bit and clearing my clouded bias and judgement.