The Business of VWAP
Twelve shorts, net +$2,342.28. NQ went five for five and gold two for two. ES chopped while they trended and took three small losses, ending the 27-trade run. And for the third night this week a short was added to while it ran against me.
Seven shorts, seven winners, net +$755.30 and twenty-seven straight. The read was excellent: NQ fell 65 points from where I first shorted it. I collected the move in pieces of under five points, and three late scalps took more heat than they made.
Four longs, all closed before NQ dropped about 100 points, net +$1,662.80 and twenty straight winners. The smallest trade made the most. The one to watch was averaged down, and the add is what made it green.
Four longs into the Sunday open rally, all winners, net +$2,397.10, and sixteen straight across five sessions. The best trades were quick and nearly heat-free; the biggest ES size again earned the least.
Two NQ shorts from the same zone, net +$3,265.20, twelve straight winners. The first was textbook. The second made the most money and was the riskier trade, because contracts were added 30 to 40 points against the first fill.
Four shorts in one hour, all winners, net +$1,150.80, which makes ten straight across three sessions. Heat stayed tiny all night. The one to study is the first NQ short, which took 25% of an 18.75-point move and then watched NQ fall another 28.
Three longs across ES and gold on a Sunday night, none of them more than 0.75 points underwater, 86% average capture, net +$1,963.72. The second straight session of near-perfect execution, and both nights the market kept going after I left.
Three NQ shorts, eleven minutes in the market, almost no heat and a 94% average capture. Net +$1,261.40. The only thing left on the table was the continuation, and then the market turned without me in it.
Three NQ shorts in the Globex session, all winners, with half a point of heat at most. I stopped at three, and NQ turned and ran 90 points higher without me.
Seven winners out of ten and still a losing day. The first 90 minutes of the cash session were excellent; one ES long held for an hour near the highs gave it all back and more. Without that trade the day is +$658.40.